UNCTAD is organizing with ECLAC, IADB and Universidad del Pacifico the 6th Regional Meeting on Public Policy Analysis with Computable General Equilibrium Models. The objective of this regional meeting is to establish a space for dialogue amongst modelers and public servants working for the region and to strengthen their analytical capabilities to evaluate public policies. The event will be a forum for methodological and economic policy discussions for researchers and policymakers that work in the Latin American and Caribbean region.
The theme of this year's meeting will be focused on the social effects of trade policy. Researchers will present - theoretical, empirical or methodological - studies related to Latin America and the Caribbean and with the evaluation of the social effects of the conclusion of a trade agreement, or of changes in trade policy. Analyze presented will include the impact on employment, wages, consumption, poverty and other related variables, as well as disaggregated analyses that show heterogeneous effects by social groups, occupational qualifications or sub-national geographic location.
The meeting will also serve to present and discuss the findings of a new book on non-tariff measures produced by DITC/UNCTAD. The discussion will cover socio-economic development perspectives in a context where international trade is increasingly subject to a wide array of non-tariff measures. A specific session will present the impact of non-tariff measures on international trade and illustrate the findings of three case studies for Latin American countries.
The conference will cover the following topics.
1. Trade Negotiations and Regional Integration: Economic and social impact of the reversal of preferences in trade agreements; Formation of new trade blocs such as Pacific Alliance, TTIP or RCEP; distributional impacts and poverty effects in Latin America and the Caribbean countries.
2. International Trade: Economic and social impact of reforms in trade policy, such as raising or lowering tariffs, negotiation of new regulatory regimes, etc.; Implementation of trade facilitation measures; Trade in services.
3. Non-Tariff Measures: Compilation, classification and analysis of official information on non-tariff measures (NTMs); Estimation of ad valorem equivalents; Impact of NTMs on international trade and other macroeconomic variables.
4. Climate Change and the Environment: Economic and social impacts of international climate change and emission reduction agreements, policies of adaptation to climate change, and low carbon growth.
5. Latin America and the Caribbean’s Participation in Value Chains: Economic and social impact of the transformation of global and regional value chains; Technological intensity and changes in the productive structure.
6. Data and Methodology: Data and methodologies that contribute to improving the analysis of the social effects of trade, including: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models; Micro-simulations; Input-output matrices; Social accounting matrices; Estimation of elasticities and coefficients; Foreign direct investment; Value added in trade in services.
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